Water-Resources Investigations Report 03-4109
Recalibration of a Ground-Water Flow Model
of the Mississippi River Valley Alluvial Aquifer
of Northeastern Arkansas, 1918-1998, with Simulations of Water Levels
Caused by Projected Ground-Water Withdrawals through 2049
By T.B. Reed
MODEL SIMULATIONS
Water levels caused by projected ground-water withdrawals were simulated using
the calibrated model. Simulations represented a period
of 50 years into the future in three scenarios. In
Scenario 1, the 1997 pumpage is extended through 2049 without
change. Scenario 2 simulates increased pumpage
calculated from the trend of historic pumping increases.
In Scenario 3, pumpage is decreased to 90 percent of
that used in Scenario 2 in two
selected areas of the Grand Prairie shown in figure 30 (of the report). Table 4 (of the report) shows
the actual total pumpages that occurred during these
simulations. As cells went dry during these simulations,
pumpage was reduced from the original amount for the simulation scenario.